{
  "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot",
  "countryCode": "LB",
  "countryName": "Lebanon",
  "slug": "lebanon",
  "rank": 127,
  "overallScore": 45,
  "dimensionCoverage": 0.77,
  "confidence": "standard",
  "level": "medium",
  "sourceStatus": "ranked",
  "headlineEligible": true,
  "capturedAt": "2026-08-29",
  "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1",
  "rankedCount": 170,
  "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json",
  "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms",
  "developments": {
    "headlines": [
      {
        "title": "'Son of Hezbollah official' is one of two held over Dahr al-Baidar explosives",
        "source": "Naharnet Lebanon",
        "url": "https://naharnet.com/stories/en/323040-son-of-hezbollah-official-is-one-of-two-held-over-dahr-al-baidar-explosives",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:20:06.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Two killed near Israeli-occupied area in south Lebanon",
        "source": "Al Jazeera",
        "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/11/two-killed-near-israeli-occupied-area-in-south-lebanon?traffic_source=rss",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T20:46:45.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Trump revokes decades-old restrictions on US-Lebanon flights",
        "source": "The National",
        "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/11/trump-revokes-decades-old-restrictions-on-us-lebanon-flights/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T17:00:51.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "US Embassy says flight ban lifting 'signals confidence in Lebanon's future'",
        "source": "Naharnet Lebanon",
        "url": "https://naharnet.com/stories/en/323041-us-embassy-says-flight-ban-lifting-signals-confidence-in-lebanon-s-future",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:43:44.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Israel says targeted pro-Iran operative in Lebanon town near Syria border",
        "source": "Naharnet Lebanon",
        "url": "https://naharnet.com/stories/en/323034-israel-says-targeted-pro-iran-operative-in-lebanon-town-near-syria-border",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T08:51:45.000Z"
      }
    ],
    "brief": {
      "text": "SITUATION NOW\nTwo people were killed near an Israeli-occupied area in south Lebanon. [2]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR LEBANON\nThe US flight ban lifting signals confidence in Lebanon's future despite the country's Country Instability Index score of 60 of 100, in the Elevated band. [4][E1]\n\nKEY RISKS\nLebanon's link to 361 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations poses a risk of further economic isolation. [E3]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Lebanon, \"Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?\", is priced Yes at 85% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 16, 2026. [E5]\nA Polymarket market related to Lebanon, \"Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?\", is priced Yes at 7% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nThe outcome of the detention of the 'son of Hezbollah official' and another person over the Dahr al-Baidar explosives remains unresolved. [1]\nWhether Israel's targeting of a pro-Iran operative in a Lebanon town near the Syria border will escalate remains to be seen. [5]",
      "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T05:07:59.910Z",
      "sources": [
        {
          "title": "'Son of Hezbollah official' is one of two held over Dahr al-Baidar explosives",
          "source": "Naharnet Lebanon",
          "url": "https://naharnet.com/stories/en/323040-son-of-hezbollah-official-is-one-of-two-held-over-dahr-al-baidar-explosives",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:20:06.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Two killed near Israeli-occupied area in south Lebanon",
          "source": "Al Jazeera",
          "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/11/two-killed-near-israeli-occupied-area-in-south-lebanon?traffic_source=rss",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T20:46:45.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Trump revokes decades-old restrictions on US-Lebanon flights",
          "source": "The National",
          "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/11/trump-revokes-decades-old-restrictions-on-us-lebanon-flights/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T17:00:51.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "US Embassy says flight ban lifting 'signals confidence in Lebanon's future'",
          "source": "Naharnet Lebanon",
          "url": "https://naharnet.com/stories/en/323041-us-embassy-says-flight-ban-lifting-signals-confidence-in-lebanon-s-future",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:43:44.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Israel says targeted pro-Iran operative in Lebanon town near Syria border",
          "source": "Naharnet Lebanon",
          "url": "https://naharnet.com/stories/en/323034-israel-says-targeted-pro-iran-operative-in-lebanon-town-near-syria-border",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T08:51:45.000Z"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "id": "E1",
          "kind": "cii",
          "label": "Country Instability Index",
          "value": "60 of 100 (Elevated)",
          "factText": "Lebanon has a Country Instability Index score of 60 of 100, in the Elevated band, as of Oct 12, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:53.133Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E3",
          "kind": "sanctions",
          "label": "US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations",
          "value": "361",
          "factText": "Lebanon is linked to 361 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Oct 12, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T00:05:35.020Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E5",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "85%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Lebanon, \"Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?\", priced Yes at 85% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 16, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-2026"
        },
        {
          "id": "E6",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "7%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Lebanon, \"Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?\", priced Yes at 7% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31"
        }
      ]
    },
    "timeline": [],
    "timelineStatus": "available",
    "briefSkipped": null,
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-12T05:02:20.299Z"
  }
}