{ "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot", "countryCode": "NE", "countryName": "Niger", "slug": "niger", "rank": 164, "overallScore": 33.8, "dimensionCoverage": 0.76, "confidence": "standard", "level": "medium", "sourceStatus": "ranked", "headlineEligible": true, "capturedAt": "2026-08-29", "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1", "rankedCount": 170, "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json", "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms", "developments": { "headlines": [ { "title": "Tinubu to flag off 376km Niger highway Tuesday", "source": "Vanguard Nigeria", "url": "https://www.vanguardngr.com/2026/10/tinubu-to-flag-off-376km-niger-highway-tuesday/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T21:51:58.000Z" }, { "title": "Police Arrest Alleged Killer Of Farmer In Niger State", "source": "Channels TV", "url": "https://www.channelstv.com/2026/10/11/police-arrest-alleged-killer-of-farmer-in-niger-state/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T16:58:06.000Z" }, { "title": "Pénuries d’essence au Niger : le patron de la compagnie pétrolière nationale paye le prix de la crise", "source": "Jeune Afrique", "url": "https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1850734/economie-entreprises/penuries-dessence-au-niger-le-patron-de-la-compagnie-petroliere-nationale-paye-le-prix-de-la-crise/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:46:44.000Z" }, { "title": "Niger intelligence agents expelled from France in sign of diplomatic strain", "source": "RFI Afrique", "url": "https://www.rfi.fr/en/africa/20261009-niger-intelligence-agents-expelled-from-france-in-sign-of-diplomatic-strain", "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T14:05:04.000Z" }, { "title": "Niger Junta's Security Fund Raises US$122 Million", "source": "riotimesonline.com", "url": "https://www.riotimesonline.com/niger-security-fund-122-million-2026/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T06:45:00.000Z", "origin": "country-index" } ], "brief": { "text": "SITUATION NOW\nNiger's national security fund has raised US$122 million, and police have arrested an alleged killer of a farmer in Niger State. [5][2]\n\nKEY RISKS\nNiger faces a 38% probability of active armed conflict by Nov 11, 2026, according to a World Monitor forecast. [E4]\nThe country is linked to 2 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, which may restrict international financial transactions. [E2]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA World Monitor forecast gives a 38% probability of active armed conflict in Niger by Nov 11, 2026, as of Oct 12, 2026. [E4]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nThe outcome of the petrol shortage crisis and the fate of the national oil company chief remain unresolved. [3]\nWhether the diplomatic strain with France will escalate further is an open question. [4]", "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T05:08:52.580Z", "sources": [ { "title": "Tinubu to flag off 376km Niger highway Tuesday", "source": "Vanguard Nigeria", "url": "https://www.vanguardngr.com/2026/10/tinubu-to-flag-off-376km-niger-highway-tuesday/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T21:51:58.000Z" }, { "title": "Police Arrest Alleged Killer Of Farmer In Niger State", "source": "Channels TV", "url": "https://www.channelstv.com/2026/10/11/police-arrest-alleged-killer-of-farmer-in-niger-state/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T16:58:06.000Z" }, { "title": "Pénuries d’essence au Niger : le patron de la compagnie pétrolière nationale paye le prix de la crise", "source": "Jeune Afrique", "url": "https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1850734/economie-entreprises/penuries-dessence-au-niger-le-patron-de-la-compagnie-petroliere-nationale-paye-le-prix-de-la-crise/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:46:44.000Z" }, { "title": "Niger intelligence agents expelled from France in sign of diplomatic strain", "source": "RFI Afrique", "url": "https://www.rfi.fr/en/africa/20261009-niger-intelligence-agents-expelled-from-france-in-sign-of-diplomatic-strain", "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T14:05:04.000Z" }, { "title": "Niger Junta's Security Fund Raises US$122 Million", "source": "riotimesonline.com", "url": "https://www.riotimesonline.com/niger-security-fund-122-million-2026/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T06:45:00.000Z", "origin": "country-index" } ], "evidence": [ { "id": "E2", "kind": "sanctions", "label": "US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations", "value": "2", "factText": "Niger is linked to 2 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Oct 12, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T00:05:35.020Z" }, { "id": "E4", "kind": "forecast", "label": "World Monitor forecast", "value": "38%", "factText": "A World Monitor forecast related to Niger, \"Active armed conflict: Niger\", gives a 38% probability by Nov 11, 2026, as of Oct 12, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:25.842Z", "url": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/accuracy/" } ] }, "timeline": [ { "title": "GDELT 181 — in Niger", "summary": "source: www.premiumtimesng.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/north-central/916103-suspect-arrested-over-farmers-killing-kidnapping-in-niger.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-11T10:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Niger", "summary": "source: dailypost.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://dailypost.ng/2026/10/10/niger-police-arrest-man-who-allegedly-hired-kidnappers-to-kill-farmer-take-over-land/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 181 — in Niger", "summary": "source: dailypost.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://dailypost.ng/2026/10/10/niger-police-arrest-man-who-allegedly-hired-kidnappers-to-kill-farmer-take-over-land/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 181 — in Niger", "summary": "source: dailypost.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://dailypost.ng/2026/10/10/niger-police-arrest-man-who-allegedly-hired-kidnappers-to-kill-farmer-take-over-land/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Niger", "summary": "source: dailypost.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://dailypost.ng/2026/10/10/niger-police-arrest-man-who-allegedly-hired-kidnappers-to-kill-farmer-take-over-land/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 181 — in Niger", "summary": "source: dailypost.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://dailypost.ng/2026/10/10/niger-police-arrest-man-who-allegedly-hired-kidnappers-to-kill-farmer-take-over-land/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Niger", "summary": "source: leadership.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://leadership.ng/no-ungoverned-space-in-niger-state-bago/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T07:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Niger", "summary": "source: leadership.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://leadership.ng/3-suspects-nabbed-for-killing-woman-over-allegation-of-witchcraft/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T01:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Niger", "summary": "source: leadership.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://leadership.ng/3-suspects-nabbed-for-killing-woman-over-allegation-of-witchcraft/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T01:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Niger", "summary": "source: leadership.ng", "sourceUrl": "https://leadership.ng/3-suspects-nabbed-for-killing-woman-over-allegation-of-witchcraft/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T01:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" } ], "timelineStatus": "available", "briefSkipped": null, "capturedAt": "2026-10-12T05:02:20.299Z" } }