{
  "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot",
  "countryCode": "RU",
  "countryName": "Russia",
  "slug": "russia",
  "rank": 99,
  "overallScore": 51.5,
  "dimensionCoverage": 0.78,
  "confidence": "standard",
  "level": "medium",
  "sourceStatus": "ranked",
  "headlineEligible": true,
  "capturedAt": "2026-08-29",
  "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1",
  "rankedCount": 170,
  "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json",
  "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms",
  "developments": {
    "headlines": [
      {
        "title": "Trump announces Ukraine energy ceasefire with Russia, surprising Zelenskiy - Reuters",
        "source": "Reuters World",
        "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxPTEo5WEZxUk5OcWNWU1Z1Z0g4SGlFQmxKckFxbS05WFd6UUxDNE0xa0NZRzZoR004Tms3azQ3aTVfUVIwNXlTU1ljcW9HLTREUGZBVVFiWlpVWXI3V1c3Zmt2UEJ2ME43azRMb0Vlei1iQUNPbzk4bV94bkRGTzBmREMydnBCRzVSclBoVkhrWkx4TFJ2YWdsRS1COGVOWU9pRDJqSUFNRk1pUnpQM2dlQ3o0eGpYSHYzbWdDX3dtQWtYT2Zz?oc=5",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:47:00.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Agreed to ‘Energy Ceasefire’",
        "source": "gCaptain",
        "url": "https://gcaptain.com/trump-says-russia-and-ukraine-agreed-to-energy-ceasefire/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:00:19.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Reached ‘Energy Ceasefire'",
        "source": "Moscow Times",
        "url": "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/11/ukraine-will-stop-hitting-refineries-if-russia-halts-energy-attacks-zelensky-says-a93943",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:58:00.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Energy ceasefire: confusion in Kyiv, support from allies, silence from Moscow and fresh strikes",
        "source": "EuroNews",
        "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/12/energy-ceasefire-confusion-in-kyiv-support-from-allies-silence-from-moscow-and-fresh-strik",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:19:44.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Oil falls on hopes Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire will boost supplies - Reuters",
        "source": "Reuters Business",
        "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxQM0xoWVo4eTNVMU5uQXk0Rk9WeWlMaWN0TFlDbWwzX1FqNy1iWW5iUzk0REtlMGNVSnlGWkRCb0tySkQwRFZ0NzVDQzRFVk1IcWNqVFIteWpOVTRVM01xblZ0TzN1dWdlNUdYWTRMUUFBOGhwQ2xTYl9NaTF0bmk5UllSanctMGJDT1g3MnVuX1IxTWpwR193RHoyV1BEd2FqOWlDcg?oc=5",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:26:00.000Z"
      }
    ],
    "brief": {
      "text": "SITUATION NOW\nTrump announced an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, surprising Zelenskiy. [1]\nOil prices fell on hopes that the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire will boost supplies. [5]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR RUSSIA\nThe energy ceasefire announcement could affect Russia's energy exports, given that Russia has a net energy import dependency of 0%. [1][E4]\n\nKEY RISKS\nRussia faces a risk of continued instability as its Country Instability Index score is 87 of 100, in the Critical band. [E1]\nRussia is linked to 5,939 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, posing ongoing economic risk. [E3]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Russia, \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?\", priced Yes at 43% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 14, 2026. [E6]\nA Polymarket market related to Russia, \"Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?\", priced Yes at 89% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 24, 2026. [E7]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nMoscow has remained silent on the energy ceasefire announcement, and fresh strikes have occurred. [4]\nThe Polymarket market \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?\" closes Oct 14, 2026, with an unresolved outcome. [E6]",
      "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T05:10:07.451Z",
      "sources": [
        {
          "title": "Trump announces Ukraine energy ceasefire with Russia, surprising Zelenskiy - Reuters",
          "source": "Reuters World",
          "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxPTEo5WEZxUk5OcWNWU1Z1Z0g4SGlFQmxKckFxbS05WFd6UUxDNE0xa0NZRzZoR004Tms3azQ3aTVfUVIwNXlTU1ljcW9HLTREUGZBVVFiWlpVWXI3V1c3Zmt2UEJ2ME43azRMb0Vlei1iQUNPbzk4bV94bkRGTzBmREMydnBCRzVSclBoVkhrWkx4TFJ2YWdsRS1COGVOWU9pRDJqSUFNRk1pUnpQM2dlQ3o0eGpYSHYzbWdDX3dtQWtYT2Zz?oc=5",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:47:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Agreed to ‘Energy Ceasefire’",
          "source": "gCaptain",
          "url": "https://gcaptain.com/trump-says-russia-and-ukraine-agreed-to-energy-ceasefire/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:00:19.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Reached ‘Energy Ceasefire'",
          "source": "Moscow Times",
          "url": "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/11/ukraine-will-stop-hitting-refineries-if-russia-halts-energy-attacks-zelensky-says-a93943",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:58:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Energy ceasefire: confusion in Kyiv, support from allies, silence from Moscow and fresh strikes",
          "source": "EuroNews",
          "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/12/energy-ceasefire-confusion-in-kyiv-support-from-allies-silence-from-moscow-and-fresh-strik",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:19:44.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Oil falls on hopes Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire will boost supplies - Reuters",
          "source": "Reuters Business",
          "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxQM0xoWVo4eTNVMU5uQXk0Rk9WeWlMaWN0TFlDbWwzX1FqNy1iWW5iUzk0REtlMGNVSnlGWkRCb0tySkQwRFZ0NzVDQzRFVk1IcWNqVFIteWpOVTRVM01xblZ0TzN1dWdlNUdYWTRMUUFBOGhwQ2xTYl9NaTF0bmk5UllSanctMGJDT1g3MnVuX1IxTWpwR193RHoyV1BEd2FqOWlDcg?oc=5",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:26:00.000Z"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "id": "E1",
          "kind": "cii",
          "label": "Country Instability Index",
          "value": "87 of 100 (Critical)",
          "factText": "Russia has a Country Instability Index score of 87 of 100, in the Critical band, as of Oct 12, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:53.133Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E3",
          "kind": "sanctions",
          "label": "US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations",
          "value": "5,939",
          "factText": "Russia is linked to 5,939 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Oct 12, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T00:05:35.020Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E4",
          "kind": "energy",
          "label": "Net energy import dependency",
          "value": "0%",
          "factText": "Russia has a net energy import dependency of 0% (World Bank Open Data, 2023).",
          "asOf": "2023-12-31T00:00:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E6",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "43%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Russia, \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?\", priced Yes at 43% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 14, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-october-2026"
        },
        {
          "id": "E7",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "89%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Russia, \"Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?\", priced Yes at 89% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 24, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830"
        }
      ]
    },
    "timeline": [],
    "timelineStatus": "available",
    "briefSkipped": null,
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-12T05:02:20.299Z"
  }
}