{
  "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot",
  "countryCode": "TW",
  "countryName": "Taiwan",
  "slug": "taiwan",
  "rank": null,
  "overallScore": null,
  "dimensionCoverage": 0.38,
  "confidence": "low",
  "level": "unpublished",
  "sourceStatus": "low-confidence",
  "headlineEligible": false,
  "capturedAt": "2026-08-29",
  "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1",
  "rankedCount": 170,
  "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json",
  "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms",
  "developments": {
    "headlines": [
      {
        "title": "China announces sanctions on Paraguay, Belize ministers over Taiwan ties",
        "source": "CNA",
        "url": "https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/china-sanctions-paraguay-belize-ministers-taiwan-6451931",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:55:13.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "China sanctions Paraguay, Belize ministers over Taiwan ties - Reuters",
        "source": "Reuters Asia",
        "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxNRlZjMXA3dXh6Z1ljWUVLdmthRFBsUlN0alB6Y0ZSYmVJMzVJbXJURjM3eGF4bW53S2Npc1lJai1GZjNDb1k1bkNoSTFndDRvOTQtcGVkOFJlczJRYW93NXdrRkU5U1Q1UXBRUktJeWhmSnNVcnEzUlVQajJiTzVRbk5wN2luMUN2R2VuMHYzNnY3UEV3d28xXzZaZUg4alpBRVV2NW9mczFRZw?oc=5",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T02:54:00.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Haiti - News : Zapping...",
        "source": "HaitiLibre English",
        "url": "https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-48642-haiti-news-zapping.html",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T15:12:19.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Palau ambassador calls for stronger marine science, tourism cooperation with Taiwan at Taipei forum",
        "source": "Island Times (Palau)",
        "url": "https://islandtimes.org/palau-ambassador-calls-for-stronger-marine-science-tourism-cooperation-with-taiwan-at-taipei-forum/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T14:27:40.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "A Raid on a Gay Bar Risks Taiwan’s LGBTQ-Friendly Reputation",
        "source": "The Diplomat",
        "url": "https://thediplomat.com/2026/10/a-raid-on-a-gay-bar-risks-taiwans-lgbtq-friendly-reputation/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T19:01:00.000Z"
      }
    ],
    "brief": {
      "text": "SITUATION NOW\nChina announced sanctions on Paraguay and Belize ministers over their ties with Taiwan. [1]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR TAIWAN\nChina's sanctions on Paraguay and Belize ministers over Taiwan ties may increase diplomatic pressure on Taiwan, which has a Country Instability Index score of 41 of 100, in the Normal band. [1][E1]\n\nKEY RISKS\nThe Taiwan Strait is a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Taiwan, posing a risk to maritime transit. [E4]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Taiwan, \"Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?\", priced Yes at 34% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Nov 29, 2026. [E6]\nA Polymarket market related to Taiwan, \"Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?\", priced Yes at 46% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Nov 29, 2026. [E7]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nA raid on a gay bar risks Taiwan's LGBTQ-friendly reputation, with no resolution reported. [5]",
      "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T05:11:09.379Z",
      "sources": [
        {
          "title": "China announces sanctions on Paraguay, Belize ministers over Taiwan ties",
          "source": "CNA",
          "url": "https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/china-sanctions-paraguay-belize-ministers-taiwan-6451931",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:55:13.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "China sanctions Paraguay, Belize ministers over Taiwan ties - Reuters",
          "source": "Reuters Asia",
          "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxNRlZjMXA3dXh6Z1ljWUVLdmthRFBsUlN0alB6Y0ZSYmVJMzVJbXJURjM3eGF4bW53S2Npc1lJai1GZjNDb1k1bkNoSTFndDRvOTQtcGVkOFJlczJRYW93NXdrRkU5U1Q1UXBRUktJeWhmSnNVcnEzUlVQajJiTzVRbk5wN2luMUN2R2VuMHYzNnY3UEV3d28xXzZaZUg4alpBRVV2NW9mczFRZw?oc=5",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T02:54:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Haiti - News : Zapping...",
          "source": "HaitiLibre English",
          "url": "https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-48642-haiti-news-zapping.html",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T15:12:19.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Palau ambassador calls for stronger marine science, tourism cooperation with Taiwan at Taipei forum",
          "source": "Island Times (Palau)",
          "url": "https://islandtimes.org/palau-ambassador-calls-for-stronger-marine-science-tourism-cooperation-with-taiwan-at-taipei-forum/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T14:27:40.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "A Raid on a Gay Bar Risks Taiwan’s LGBTQ-Friendly Reputation",
          "source": "The Diplomat",
          "url": "https://thediplomat.com/2026/10/a-raid-on-a-gay-bar-risks-taiwans-lgbtq-friendly-reputation/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T19:01:00.000Z"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "id": "E1",
          "kind": "cii",
          "label": "Country Instability Index",
          "value": "41 of 100 (Normal)",
          "factText": "Taiwan has a Country Instability Index score of 41 of 100, in the Normal band, as of Oct 12, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:10:53.794Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E4",
          "kind": "chokepoint",
          "label": "Chokepoint tracker",
          "value": "Taiwan Strait",
          "factText": "Taiwan Strait is a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Taiwan.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:11:06.409Z",
          "url": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/chokepoints/taiwan-strait/"
        },
        {
          "id": "E6",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "34%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Taiwan, \"Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?\", priced Yes at 34% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Nov 29, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100"
        },
        {
          "id": "E7",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "46%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Taiwan, \"Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?\", priced Yes at 46% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Nov 29, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857200"
        }
      ]
    },
    "timeline": [
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-12: plaAircraftSorties: 4; planShips: 6; officialShips: 3; adizEntries: 4",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87955",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-11: plaAircraftSorties: 12; planShips: 6; officialShips: 3; adizEntries: 5",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87953",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-10: plaAircraftSorties: 21; planShips: 7; officialShips: 2; medianLineCrossings: 13; adizEntries: 13",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87951",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-09: plaAircraftSorties: 2; planShips: 5; officialShips: 2; adizEntries: 2",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87948",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-08: plaAircraftSorties: 3; planShips: 6; officialShips: 1; adizEntries: 1",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87942",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-07: plaAircraftSorties: 14; planShips: 7; officialShips: 1; adizEntries: 9",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87927",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-06: plaAircraftSorties: 0; planShips: 8; officialShips: 8",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87922",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-05: plaAircraftSorties: 0; planShips: 8; officialShips: 9",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87913",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-04: plaAircraftSorties: 0; planShips: 7; officialShips: 8",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87905",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-03: plaAircraftSorties: 5; planShips: 6; officialShips: 7; adizEntries: 2",
        "summary": "",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/News/PLAAct/87903",
        "occurredAt": "2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z",
        "domain": "military"
      }
    ],
    "timelineStatus": "available",
    "briefSkipped": null,
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-12T05:02:20.299Z"
  }
}
