{ "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot", "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "rank": 128, "overallScore": 44.9, "dimensionCoverage": 0.81, "confidence": "standard", "level": "medium", "sourceStatus": "ranked", "headlineEligible": true, "capturedAt": "2026-08-29", "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1", "rankedCount": 170, "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json", "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms", "developments": { "headlines": [ { "title": "Trump announces Ukraine energy ceasefire with Russia, surprising Zelenskiy - Reuters", "source": "Reuters World", "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxPTEo5WEZxUk5OcWNWU1Z1Z0g4SGlFQmxKckFxbS05WFd6UUxDNE0xa0NZRzZoR004Tms3azQ3aTVfUVIwNXlTU1ljcW9HLTREUGZBVVFiWlpVWXI3V1c3Zmt2UEJ2ME43azRMb0Vlei1iQUNPbzk4bV94bkRGTzBmREMydnBCRzVSclBoVkhrWkx4TFJ2YWdsRS1COGVOWU9pRDJqSUFNRk1pUnpQM2dlQ3o0eGpYSHYzbWdDX3dtQWtYT2Zz?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:47:00.000Z" }, { "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Agreed to ‘Energy Ceasefire’", "source": "gCaptain", "url": "https://gcaptain.com/trump-says-russia-and-ukraine-agreed-to-energy-ceasefire/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:00:19.000Z" }, { "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Reached ‘Energy Ceasefire'", "source": "Moscow Times", "url": "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/11/ukraine-will-stop-hitting-refineries-if-russia-halts-energy-attacks-zelensky-says-a93943", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:58:00.000Z" }, { "title": "Energy ceasefire: confusion in Kyiv, support from allies, silence from Moscow and fresh strikes", "source": "EuroNews", "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/12/energy-ceasefire-confusion-in-kyiv-support-from-allies-silence-from-moscow-and-fresh-strik", "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:19:44.000Z" }, { "title": "Oil falls on hopes Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire will boost supplies - Reuters", "source": "Reuters Business", "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxQM0xoWVo4eTNVMU5uQXk0Rk9WeWlMaWN0TFlDbWwzX1FqNy1iWW5iUzk0REtlMGNVSnlGWkRCb0tySkQwRFZ0NzVDQzRFVk1IcWNqVFIteWpOVTRVM01xblZ0TzN1dWdlNUdYWTRMUUFBOGhwQ2xTYl9NaTF0bmk5UllSanctMGJDT1g3MnVuX1IxTWpwR193RHoyV1BEd2FqOWlDcg?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:26:00.000Z" } ], "brief": { "text": "SITUATION NOW\nTrump announced an energy ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia, surprising Zelenskiy. [1]\nConfusion in Kyiv, support from allies, silence from Moscow and fresh strikes followed the energy ceasefire announcement. [4]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR UKRAINE\nUkraine's 34% net energy import dependency makes the energy ceasefire critical for its energy security, but fresh strikes continue. [4][E4]\n\nKEY RISKS\nThe Do Not Travel advisory for Ukraine reflects extreme risk for any travel to the country. [E2]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?\", priced Yes at 43% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 14, 2026. [E6]\nA Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?\", priced Yes at 23% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 31, 2026. [E7]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nThe outcome of the Polymarket market \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?\" closing Oct 14, 2026. [E6]\nThe outcome of the Polymarket market \"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?\" closing Oct 31, 2026. [E7]", "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T05:11:15.295Z", "sources": [ { "title": "Trump announces Ukraine energy ceasefire with Russia, surprising Zelenskiy - Reuters", "source": "Reuters World", "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxPTEo5WEZxUk5OcWNWU1Z1Z0g4SGlFQmxKckFxbS05WFd6UUxDNE0xa0NZRzZoR004Tms3azQ3aTVfUVIwNXlTU1ljcW9HLTREUGZBVVFiWlpVWXI3V1c3Zmt2UEJ2ME43azRMb0Vlei1iQUNPbzk4bV94bkRGTzBmREMydnBCRzVSclBoVkhrWkx4TFJ2YWdsRS1COGVOWU9pRDJqSUFNRk1pUnpQM2dlQ3o0eGpYSHYzbWdDX3dtQWtYT2Zz?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:47:00.000Z" }, { "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Agreed to ‘Energy Ceasefire’", "source": "gCaptain", "url": "https://gcaptain.com/trump-says-russia-and-ukraine-agreed-to-energy-ceasefire/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:00:19.000Z" }, { "title": "Trump Says Russia and Ukraine Reached ‘Energy Ceasefire'", "source": "Moscow Times", "url": "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/11/ukraine-will-stop-hitting-refineries-if-russia-halts-energy-attacks-zelensky-says-a93943", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:58:00.000Z" }, { "title": "Energy ceasefire: confusion in Kyiv, support from allies, silence from Moscow and fresh strikes", "source": "EuroNews", "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/12/energy-ceasefire-confusion-in-kyiv-support-from-allies-silence-from-moscow-and-fresh-strik", "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:19:44.000Z" }, { "title": "Oil falls on hopes Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire will boost supplies - Reuters", "source": "Reuters Business", "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxQM0xoWVo4eTNVMU5uQXk0Rk9WeWlMaWN0TFlDbWwzX1FqNy1iWW5iUzk0REtlMGNVSnlGWkRCb0tySkQwRFZ0NzVDQzRFVk1IcWNqVFIteWpOVTRVM01xblZ0TzN1dWdlNUdYWTRMUUFBOGhwQ2xTYl9NaTF0bmk5UllSanctMGJDT1g3MnVuX1IxTWpwR193RHoyV1BEd2FqOWlDcg?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T23:26:00.000Z" } ], "evidence": [ { "id": "E2", "kind": "advisory", "label": "Travel advisory", "value": "Do Not Travel", "factText": "The most severe government travel advisory World Monitor tracks for Ukraine is Do Not Travel, as of Oct 12, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:50.125Z" }, { "id": "E4", "kind": "energy", "label": "Net energy import dependency", "value": "34%", "factText": "Ukraine has a net energy import dependency of 34% (Eurostat, 2020).", "asOf": "2020-12-31T00:00:00.000Z" }, { "id": "E6", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "43%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?\", priced Yes at 43% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 14, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-october-2026" }, { "id": "E7", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "23%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?\", priced Yes at 23% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 31, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:52.682Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716" } ] }, "timeline": [ { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.rte.ie", "sourceUrl": "https://www.rte.ie/news/world/2026/1012/1594956-eu-ukraine-talks/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T04:00:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/russiaukraine-war-trump-announces-energy-ceasefire-says-both-sides-agree-heres-how-kyiv-and-moscow-responded-11791770994201.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/russiaukraine-war-trump-announces-energy-ceasefire-says-both-sides-agree-heres-how-kyiv-and-moscow-responded-11791770994201.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/russiaukraine-war-trump-announces-energy-ceasefire-says-both-sides-agree-heres-how-kyiv-and-moscow-responded-11791770994201.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/russiaukraine-war-trump-announces-energy-ceasefire-says-both-sides-agree-heres-how-kyiv-and-moscow-responded-11791770994201.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/russiaukraine-war-trump-announces-energy-ceasefire-says-both-sides-agree-heres-how-kyiv-and-moscow-responded-11791770994201.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/russiaukraine-war-trump-announces-energy-ceasefire-says-both-sides-agree-heres-how-kyiv-and-moscow-responded-11791770994201.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 185 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.eng.kavkaz-uzel.eu", "sourceUrl": "https://www.eng.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/79313", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T01:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: article.wn.com", "sourceUrl": "https://article.wn.com/view/2026/10/12/Trump_says_Russia_and_Ukraine_agree_to_an_energy_ceasefire_b_5/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T00:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.wisn.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.wisn.com/article/trump-russia-ukraine-energy-ceasefire/74102049", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" } ], "timelineStatus": "available", "briefSkipped": null, "capturedAt": "2026-10-12T05:02:20.299Z" } }