{ "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot", "countryCode": "YE", "countryName": "Yemen", "slug": "yemen", "rank": 167, "overallScore": 29.6, "dimensionCoverage": 0.69, "confidence": "standard", "level": "low", "sourceStatus": "ranked", "headlineEligible": true, "capturedAt": "2026-08-29", "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1", "rankedCount": 170, "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json", "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms", "developments": { "headlines": [ { "title": "At least 139 migrants dead after boat from Djibouti to Yemen capsizes, UN agency says", "source": "Rappler", "url": "https://www.rappler.com/world/africa/migrants-deaths-boat-djibouti-yemen-capsizes-october-2026/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:09:59.000Z" }, { "title": "Riyadh airport hit again after deadly Houthi missile attack, Saudi authorities say", "source": "Guardian ME", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/11/saudi-coalition-retaliation-houthi-attack-riyadh-airport", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T22:28:50.000Z" }, { "title": "Houthis show military reach with deadly missile strikes on Riyadh", "source": "Financial Times", "url": "https://www.ft.com/content/bd2c7385-184e-425e-997f-0f5a8c54184e?syn-25a6b1a6=1", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T13:04:47.000Z" }, { "title": "At least 139 dead including children after migrant boat capsizes off Djibouti", "source": "Guardian ME", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/11/deaths-migrant-boat-capsizes-djibouti", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T13:56:47.000Z" }, { "title": "At least 139 migrants dead, more than 84 missing after boat capsizes off Djibouti", "source": "France 24 Africa", "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20261011-at-least-hundred-migrants-dead-scores-missing-after-boat-capsizes-off-djibouti", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:24:40.000Z" } ], "brief": { "text": "SITUATION NOW\nAt least 139 migrants died after a boat from Djibouti to Yemen capsized, according to a UN agency. [1]\nHouthi missile strikes on Riyadh have demonstrated their military reach, and Saudi authorities reported that Riyadh airport was hit again. [2][3]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR YEMEN\nThe deadly migrant boat capsize highlights the dangers of migration routes to a country with a Country Instability Index score of 70 of 100, in the High band. [1][E1]\nHouthi missile strikes on Riyadh underscore the threat to regional stability, as Yemen is linked to 138 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations. [2][3][E3]\n\nKEY RISKS\nThe most severe government travel advisory for Yemen is Do Not Travel, indicating extreme risk for civilians. [E2]\nYemen's net energy import dependency of 0% suggests limited external energy leverage, but the Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint remains a strategic vulnerability. [E4][E5]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Yemen, \"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?\", was priced Yes at 67% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 13, 2026. [E6]\nA Polymarket market related to Yemen, \"Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?\", was priced Yes at 59% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 16, 2026. [E7]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nThe outcome of the Polymarket market \"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?\" closing Oct 13, 2026, remains unresolved. [E6]\nWhether Perim Island will no longer be under Houthi control by October 15 is an open question. [E8]", "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T05:11:45.871Z", "sources": [ { "title": "At least 139 migrants dead after boat from Djibouti to Yemen capsizes, UN agency says", "source": "Rappler", "url": "https://www.rappler.com/world/africa/migrants-deaths-boat-djibouti-yemen-capsizes-october-2026/", "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T03:09:59.000Z" }, { "title": "Riyadh airport hit again after deadly Houthi missile attack, Saudi authorities say", "source": "Guardian ME", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/11/saudi-coalition-retaliation-houthi-attack-riyadh-airport", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T22:28:50.000Z" }, { "title": "Houthis show military reach with deadly missile strikes on Riyadh", "source": "Financial Times", "url": "https://www.ft.com/content/bd2c7385-184e-425e-997f-0f5a8c54184e?syn-25a6b1a6=1", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T13:04:47.000Z" }, { "title": "At least 139 dead including children after migrant boat capsizes off Djibouti", "source": "Guardian ME", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/11/deaths-migrant-boat-capsizes-djibouti", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T13:56:47.000Z" }, { "title": "At least 139 migrants dead, more than 84 missing after boat capsizes off Djibouti", "source": "France 24 Africa", "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20261011-at-least-hundred-migrants-dead-scores-missing-after-boat-capsizes-off-djibouti", "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T09:24:40.000Z" } ], "evidence": [ { "id": "E1", "kind": "cii", "label": "Country Instability Index", "value": "70 of 100 (High)", "factText": "Yemen has a Country Instability Index score of 70 of 100, in the High band, as of Oct 12, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:10:53.794Z" }, { "id": "E2", "kind": "advisory", "label": "Travel advisory", "value": "Do Not Travel", "factText": "The most severe government travel advisory World Monitor tracks for Yemen is Do Not Travel, as of Oct 12, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:00:50.125Z" }, { "id": "E3", "kind": "sanctions", "label": "US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations", "value": "138", "factText": "Yemen is linked to 138 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Oct 12, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T00:05:35.020Z" }, { "id": "E4", "kind": "energy", "label": "Net energy import dependency", "value": "0%", "factText": "Yemen has a net energy import dependency of 0% (World Bank Open Data, 2023).", "asOf": "2023-12-31T00:00:00.000Z" }, { "id": "E5", "kind": "chokepoint", "label": "Chokepoint tracker", "value": "Bab el-Mandeb", "factText": "Bab el-Mandeb is a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Yemen.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:11:38.547Z", "url": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/chokepoints/bab-el-mandeb/" }, { "id": "E6", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "67%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Yemen, \"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?\", priced Yes at 67% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 13, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:11:19.767Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026" }, { "id": "E7", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "59%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Yemen, \"Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?\", priced Yes at 59% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 16, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:11:19.767Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-october-2026" }, { "id": "E8", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "12%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Yemen, \"Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?\", priced Yes at 12% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Oct 16, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-10-12T05:11:19.767Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916" } ] }, "timeline": [ { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.thehindubusinessline.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/world-leaders-governments-condemn-attack-on-riyadh-airport-that-killed-at-least-13/article71573614.ece", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T04:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.thehindubusinessline.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/passenger-terminal-at-riyadh-airport-is-struck-again-a-day-after-12-were-killed/article71573608.ece", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T04:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 193 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: aa.com.tr", "sourceUrl": "https://aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/1-person-killed-11-injured-in-attack-on-king-khalid-international-airport-in-riyadh/4085520", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 195 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: aa.com.tr", "sourceUrl": "https://aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/saudi-airports-face-growing-disruptions-amid-houthi-attacks-heightened-security-warnings/4085532", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.moneycontrol.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.moneycontrol.com/world/yemen-s-houthis-claim-attacks-on-saudi-airports-aramco-facilities-article-14049643.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 180 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: thechronicle.com.gh", "sourceUrl": "https://thechronicle.com.gh/eight-arrested-for-beating-21-year-old-over-internet-fraud/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T02:00:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 194 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.eurasiareview.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.eurasiareview.com/12102026-riyadh-hospitals-treating-309-injured-in-deadly-airport-attack/", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T01:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 195 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.mirror.co.uk", "sourceUrl": "https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/houthis-riyadh-airport-strike-projectile-37761024", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T01:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 195 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.mirror.co.uk", "sourceUrl": "https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/houthis-riyadh-airport-strike-projectile-37761024", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T01:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Yemen", "summary": "source: www.journalgazette.net", "sourceUrl": "https://www.journalgazette.net/news/world/saudi-airport-passenger-terminal-is-struck-again-a-day-after-12-were-killed/article_f65908b8-9fd2-5375-a885-a2f898416ee1.html", "occurredAt": "2026-10-12T00:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" } ], "timelineStatus": "available", "briefSkipped": null, "capturedAt": "2026-10-12T05:02:20.299Z" } }