> ## Documentation Index > Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/llms.txt > Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further. # GetForecasts > GetForecasts returns the latest generated probabilistic forecasts; the degraded flag distinguishes a backend outage from a healthy empty set. ## OpenAPI ````yaml /api/ForecastService.openapi.yaml get /api/forecast/v1/get-forecasts openapi: 3.1.0 info: title: ForecastService API version: 1.0.0 servers: - url: https://api.worldmonitor.app security: - WorldMonitorKey: [] - ApiKeyHeader: [] paths: /api/forecast/v1/get-forecasts: get: tags: - ForecastService summary: GetForecasts description: >- GetForecasts returns the latest generated probabilistic forecasts; the degraded flag distinguishes a backend outage from a healthy empty set. operationId: GetForecasts parameters: - name: domain in: query description: >- Forecast domain to retrieve, such as geopolitics, markets, or climate. required: false example: conflict schema: type: string enum: - conflict - market - supply_chain - political - military - cyber - infrastructure - name: region in: query description: Optional geographic or thematic region filter for forecasts. required: false example: example schema: type: string - name: jmespath in: query description: >- Optional JMESPath expression applied server-side to project or reduce the JSON response before it is returned (mirrors the MCP jmespath argument). Invalid expressions, expressions larger than 1024 UTF-8 bytes, or projections that exceed the 256 KB output cap return HTTP 400 with a {_jmespath_error, original_keys} envelope. Grammar and worked examples: https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/mcp-jmespath. required: false example: keys(@) schema: type: string responses: '200': description: Successful response content: application/json: example: degraded: true error: example forecasts: - calibration: drift: 1.5 marketPrice: 75.25 marketTitle: example source: example cascades: - domain: example effect: example probability: 1.5 caseFile: actorLenses: - example actors: - category: cs.AI constraints: - example id: example-id influenceScore: 42.5 likelyActions: - example baseCase: example branches: - kind: example outcome: example projectedProbability: 1.5 rounds: - {} summary: Example WorldMonitor observation. changeItems: - example confidence: 0.82 createdAt: 1717200000000 generatedAt: 1717200000000 stale: true schema: $ref: '#/components/schemas/GetForecastsResponse' '400': description: Validation error content: application/json: schema: oneOf: - $ref: '#/components/schemas/ValidationError' - $ref: '#/components/schemas/JmespathProjectionError' '401': description: Missing or invalid API key. content: application/json: schema: $ref: '#/components/schemas/UnauthorizedError' '403': description: >- API access requires an active subscription (the API key's subscription is inactive or expired). content: application/json: schema: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForbiddenError' '429': description: Rate limit exceeded. headers: X-RateLimit-Limit: description: Maximum requests allowed in the active rate-limit window. schema: type: string X-RateLimit-Remaining: description: Requests remaining in the active rate-limit window. schema: type: string X-RateLimit-Reset: description: >- Unix epoch milliseconds when the active rate-limit window resets. schema: type: string Retry-After: description: Seconds to wait before retrying the request. schema: type: string content: application/json: schema: oneOf: - $ref: '#/components/schemas/Error' - $ref: '#/components/schemas/RateLimitError' default: description: Gateway or handler error response. content: application/json: schema: oneOf: - $ref: '#/components/schemas/Error' - $ref: '#/components/schemas/GatewayError' components: schemas: GetForecastsResponse: type: object properties: forecasts: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/Forecast' generatedAt: type: integer format: int64 description: 'Warning: Values > 2^53 may lose precision in JavaScript' degraded: type: boolean description: |- True when the forecast backend could not read the canonical cache. Distinguishes an outage from a healthy empty forecast set. stale: type: boolean description: >- True when forecasts are served from a stale fallback. Currently false for this endpoint because get-forecasts does not have a stale fallback cache. error: type: string description: |- Stable machine-readable reason when degraded=true, empty otherwise. Value: "forecast_backend_unavailable" on Redis/backend read failures. ValidationError: type: object properties: violations: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/FieldViolation' description: List of validation violations required: - violations description: >- ValidationError is returned when request validation fails. It contains a list of field violations describing what went wrong. JmespathProjectionError: description: >- Returned when a REST jmespath projection is invalid or exceeds the expression/output byte limits. properties: _jmespath_error: description: Projection error discriminator and details. type: string original_keys: description: Top-level keys or shape of the unprojected response. items: type: string type: array required: - _jmespath_error - original_keys type: object UnauthorizedError: type: object properties: error: type: string description: Human-readable error message. required: - error description: >- Returned when the API key is missing, malformed, or lacks current API access. ForbiddenError: type: object properties: error: type: string description: Human-readable entitlement failure reason. requiredTier: type: integer format: int32 description: Minimum entitlement tier required for this endpoint. currentTier: type: integer format: int32 description: Caller entitlement tier when known. planKey: type: string description: Caller plan key when known. required: - error description: >- Returned when a PRO-gated endpoint denies access because the caller has no resolved authenticated user, entitlements cannot be verified, or the caller lacks the required entitlement tier. Error: type: object properties: message: type: string description: Error message (e.g., 'user not found', 'database connection failed') description: >- Error is returned when a handler encounters an error. It contains a simple error message that the developer can customize. RateLimitError: type: object description: Returned when a gateway or handler rate limit rejects the request. properties: error: type: string description: Human-readable rate-limit failure reason. required: - error GatewayError: type: object description: >- Returned by gateway infrastructure errors before an RPC handler runs, such as origin, routing, method, authentication, or quota checks. properties: error: oneOf: - type: string - type: object additionalProperties: true description: Gateway error reason or structured gateway failure details. required: - error Forecast: type: object properties: id: type: string domain: type: string region: type: string title: type: string scenario: type: string feedSummary: type: string probability: type: number format: double confidence: type: number format: double timeHorizon: type: string signals: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastSignal' cascades: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/CascadeEffect' trend: type: string description: >- Forecast trend direction. Current values are "rising", "falling", and "stable". The seeder compares probability against the prior forecast snapshot and uses a +/-0.05 deadband: deltas above +0.05 are rising, below -0.05 are falling, and everything inside the band is stable. priorProbability: type: number format: double calibration: $ref: '#/components/schemas/CalibrationInfo' createdAt: type: integer format: int64 description: 'Warning: Values > 2^53 may lose precision in JavaScript' updatedAt: type: integer format: int64 description: 'Warning: Values > 2^53 may lose precision in JavaScript' perspectives: $ref: '#/components/schemas/Perspectives' projections: $ref: '#/components/schemas/Projections' caseFile: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastCase' simulationAdjustment: type: number format: double description: >- Simulation-scoring fields — populated when the deep forecast simulation pipeline has run for this forecast's state and produced a non-zero adjustment. simulation_adjustment: raw score delta (+0.08–+0.12 positive, -0.12/-0.15 negative). sim_path_confidence: clamped [0,1] confidence of the matched sim top-path; 0 = not set. demoted_by_simulation: true when a negative adjustment crossed the 0.50 acceptance threshold. simPathConfidence: type: number format: double demotedBySimulation: type: boolean resolution: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ResolutionSpec' FieldViolation: type: object properties: field: type: string description: >- The field path that failed validation (e.g., 'user.email' for nested fields). For header validation, this will be the header name (e.g., 'X-API-Key') description: type: string description: >- Human-readable description of the validation violation (e.g., 'must be a valid email address', 'required field missing') required: - field - description description: FieldViolation describes a single validation error for a specific field. ForecastSignal: type: object properties: type: type: string value: type: string weight: type: number format: double CascadeEffect: type: object properties: domain: type: string effect: type: string probability: type: number format: double CalibrationInfo: type: object properties: marketTitle: type: string marketPrice: type: number format: double drift: type: number format: double source: type: string Perspectives: type: object properties: strategic: type: string regional: type: string contrarian: type: string Projections: type: object properties: h24: type: number format: double description: Projected 24-hour probability after domain-curve normalization. d7: type: number format: double description: Projected 7-day probability after domain-curve normalization. d30: type: number format: double description: Projected 30-day probability after domain-curve normalization. description: >- Projections contains bounded presentation-path probabilities derived from domain curves. Market forecasts are peak-anchored, so the projected value at the forecast's own time_horizon can intentionally differ from the headline probability; non-market forecasts preserve their emitted horizon as anchor. ForecastCase: type: object properties: supportingEvidence: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastCaseEvidence' counterEvidence: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastCaseEvidence' triggers: type: array items: type: string actorLenses: type: array items: type: string baseCase: type: string escalatoryCase: type: string contrarianCase: type: string changeSummary: type: string changeItems: type: array items: type: string actors: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastActor' worldState: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastWorldState' branches: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastBranch' ResolutionSpec: type: object properties: kind: type: string metricKey: type: string operator: type: string threshold: type: number format: double baselineValue: type: number format: double window: type: string deadline: type: integer format: int64 description: 'Warning: Values > 2^53 may lose precision in JavaScript' sourceFeed: type: string question: type: string description: |- Machine-checkable resolution spec — makes a forecast a scoreable *bet*. Every forecast carries exactly one spec, either "hard" or "judged": - "hard": auto-resolvable by a free metric comparison against a WorldMonitor feed the detector already scored from. Sets metric_key (feed + path expression), operator, threshold, window, and source_feed (a RESOLUTION_FEED_KEYS allowlist member). baseline_value is set only when operator is "crosses" (the emission-time metric value the move is measured from). - "judged": resolved by a later LLM judge against the question string; no numeric threshold, but still a resolution deadline. kind and operator are strings, not proto enums, mirroring the trend field above so a new operator/kind never requires a proto migration to land in the 45-day history. Current kind values are "hard" and "judged"; current operator values are ">=", "<=", and "crosses". kind and deadline are always set; every other field is optional and absent (persisted as JSON null) when it does not apply to the kind — a judged spec carries no threshold/baseline_value so "no threshold" is never confused with a real threshold of 0, and a hard spec carries no question. ForecastCaseEvidence: type: object properties: type: type: string summary: type: string weight: type: number format: double ForecastActor: type: object properties: id: type: string name: type: string category: type: string role: type: string objectives: type: array items: type: string constraints: type: array items: type: string likelyActions: type: array items: type: string influenceScore: type: number format: double ForecastWorldState: type: object properties: summary: type: string activePressures: type: array items: type: string stabilizers: type: array items: type: string keyUnknowns: type: array items: type: string ForecastBranch: type: object properties: kind: type: string title: type: string summary: type: string outcome: type: string projectedProbability: type: number format: double rounds: type: array items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ForecastBranchRound' ForecastBranchRound: type: object properties: round: type: integer format: int32 focus: type: string developments: type: array items: type: string actorMoves: type: array items: type: string probabilityShift: type: number format: double securitySchemes: WorldMonitorKey: type: apiKey in: header name: X-WorldMonitor-Key description: User-issued WorldMonitor API key. ApiKeyHeader: type: apiKey in: header name: X-Api-Key description: Alias header for the WorldMonitor API key (X-WorldMonitor-Key). ````