Intelligence.Glossary
Plain-English definitions of the scoring indices, detection signals, maritime chokepoints, and OSINT methodology terms used across World Monitor. Each entry links to the methodology behind it.
Scoring & Indices
Country Instability Index CII
The Country Instability Index (CII) is a high-frequency instability score that WorldMonitor maintains for 31 Tier-1 countries by blending an editorial baseline with live event pressure.
Country Resilience Index CRI
The Country Resilience Index (CRI) is a composite 0–100 score of a country’s structural ability to absorb and recover from shocks, refreshed every six hours across six weighted domains and 20 active dimensions for a fixed 196-country rankable universe.
Dimension Coverage
Dimension coverage is the share of a country’s resilience dimensions backed by real observed data rather than imputed — the mean of the 20 active per-dimension coverage values, used to gauge how much of a CRI score is real.
Pentagon Pizza Index
The Pentagon Pizza Index is an open-source-intelligence activity proxy that watches late-night demand signals near key government facilities as a rough tell for unusual operational tempo.
Strategic Risk
Strategic Risk is WorldMonitor’s composite triage layer that synthesizes instability, convergence, infrastructure, theater posture, sanctions, and breaking-news signals into a single headline risk read.
Signals & Detection
Focal Point Detection
Focal point detection is the synthesis layer that correlates news entities with live map signals to identify the "main characters" — the people, places, and organizations driving current events.
Geographic Convergence
Geographic convergence is when three or more distinct event types co-occur inside the same one-degree map cell within 24 hours, which fires a convergence alert flagging an area where separate signals are stacking up.
Hotspot
A hotspot is a watched location whose displayed activity level is computed in real time from news correlation, rather than being a fixed, static threat rating.
Infrastructure Cascade
An infrastructure cascade is a modeled chain reaction in which the disruption of one critical node — a cable, pipeline, port, or chokepoint — propagates through its dependency graph to threaten downstream systems.
Threat Classification
Threat classification is the hybrid AI step that labels incoming events by type and severity, combining fast rule-based tagging with model-based analysis to keep the live feed structured.
Maritime & Chokepoints
Automatic Identification System AIS
AIS (Automatic Identification System) is the transponder standard that broadcasts a ship’s identity, position, and course, and is the primary data source for tracking vessel traffic through chokepoints.
Chokepoint Congestion
Chokepoint congestion is an above-normal build-up of vessel traffic waiting to transit a strait or canal, detected from AIS activity and used as an early sign of disruption.
Maritime Chokepoint
A maritime chokepoint is a narrow passage through which a large share of global trade, energy, food, or military movement must pass, so a disruption there removes optionality from the whole system.
Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is the maritime chokepoint between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman through which a large share of the world’s seaborne crude oil and LNG must transit.
Strait of Malacca
The Strait of Malacca is the primary shipping lane between the Indian and Pacific Oceans, carrying a large share of container traffic and energy imports bound for East Asia.
Suez Canal
The Suez Canal is the artificial waterway linking the Mediterranean and the Red Sea that lets shipping move between Europe and Asia without rounding Africa.
OSINT & Methodology
Open-Source Intelligence OSINT
Open-source intelligence (OSINT) is intelligence produced from publicly available sources — news, social media, satellite imagery, transponder feeds, and public records — rather than from classified collection.
Prediction Market
A prediction market is a marketplace where participants trade contracts on the outcome of future events, and the market price acts as a crowd-sourced probability estimate.
Provenance & Source Attribution
Provenance is the documented chain from a published score or brief back to the specific public sources it was built from, so any claim can be traced to its underlying evidence.
World Brief
The World Brief is WorldMonitor’s AI-generated, source-attributed summary of the current global situation, synthesized from correlated live signals rather than a single news feed.