Egypt resilience analysis
Egypt ranks #112 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 48.7 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 58.5, with structural readiness next at 59. Live shock exposure is strongest at 66.5, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 53.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.4 points. Dimension coverage is 83%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 58.5; coverage 58%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 59; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 66.5; coverage 94%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 53.5; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 34; high Border security 70.
- Energy security: 55; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 55.
- Health, food and water: 56.9; weight 13%; low Food and water security 53; high Health and public services 60.
- Recovery capacity: 58.5; weight 25%; low Fiscal space 28; high Import concentration 88.
- Economic capacity: 65; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 54; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Infrastructure: 81.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 62; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 28 | 65% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 31 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 34 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 51 | 55% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 53 | 82% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 53 | 100% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 54 | 95% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 55 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 55 | 90% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 57 | 100% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 59 | 85% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 60 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 61 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 62 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 70 | 100% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 83 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 88 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Sri Lanka (#111, 48.8), Namibia (#113, 48.4), Ghana (#110, 48.9), South Africa (#114, 48.2). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Morocco (#102, 50.7), Bahrain (#122, 46.3), Algeria (#94, 51.9), Turkey (#125, 45.1), Lebanon (#127, 45). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Egypt has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 81.7. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Egypt
What is Egypt's Country Instability Index?
Egypt's Country Instability Index is 27/100 (Low), up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Oct 12, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC.
What is Egypt's resilience score?
Egypt scores 48.7 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #112 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Egypt?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 58.5, followed by Structural readiness at 59. Their evidence coverage is 58% and 93%.
Is Egypt's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.