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India Country Instability Index

India's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures India's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Republic of India. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

India instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score50Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed183 designated entities
Open India on the live map →

Recent developments in India

India's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for India

The central bank curbs on hedging may limit corporate ability to manage currency risk, given India's net energy import dependency of 36%. [2][E4]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to India, "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?", priced Yes at 10% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

A Polymarket market related to India, "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?", priced Yes at 8% on Oct 12, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E7]

Watch items

The outcome of protests seeking the ouster of India's election chief remains unresolved. [4]

Whether India will strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026 is an unresolved market question. [E6]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#106
Overall score50
Dimension coverage81%
ConfidenceStandard

India resilience analysis

India ranks #106 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 50 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 59.4, with recovery capacity next at 65. Live shock exposure is strongest at 65, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 54.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
State continuityRecovery capacity28100%Stale
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity31100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance36100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3650%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance47100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance51100%Stale
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity56100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water58100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance5955%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security6190%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity61100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity63100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water6682%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance73100%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity73100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity8385%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity87100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity90100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Cambodia (#105, 50.5), Nepal (#107, 49.9), Guatemala (#104, 50.6), Honduras (#108, 49.7). Comparisons in South Asia: Nepal (#107, 49.9), Sri Lanka (#111, 48.8), Maldives (#97, 51.7), Bhutan (#77, 54.5), Bangladesh (#148, 40.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

India has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 72.4. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about India

What is India's Country Instability Index?

India's Country Instability Index is 50/100 (Normal), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Oct 12, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC.

What is India's resilience score?

India scores 50 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #106 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for India?

Structural readiness is lowest at 59.4, followed by Recovery capacity at 65. Their evidence coverage is 94% and 63%.

Is India's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related country profiles

Linked to India by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need India signals in your own workflow? Compare World Monitor Pro and API plans for India risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect India are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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