India–Pakistan conflict tracker
What is happening with India and Pakistan?
India–Pakistan conflict: Kashmir, Operation Sindoor, TTP insurgency, key actors, a sourced timeline, what to watch, and monthly conflict events and fatalities.
This tracker reports the latest available monthly humanitarian conflict summary for Pakistan and India. It is a country-level pulse, not a comprehensive incident ledger, a count limited to the bilateral dispute (the Pakistan and India figures include all internal political violence, such as the TTP and Baloch militant insurgencies and unrelated incidents elsewhere in India), or a forecast.
Latest maintained month
Country conflict pulse
Metrics are country-level records for the latest available HAPI/HDX reference month. Missing countries are unavailable, not zero. A combined total is withheld when reference periods differ.
Current monthly conflict metrics load after page enhancement. The tracker scope below remains the dated crawlable reference.
Background
The dispute began with the 1947 Partition of British India, when Kashmir's maharaja acceded to India and the two new states fought their first war over the territory, according to the Council on Foreign Relations. Further wars followed in 1965 and 1971, and the 1972 Simla Agreement drew the Line of Control that still divides Kashmir. India tested a nuclear weapon in 1974 and Pakistan later did the same. In August 2019 India revoked Article 370, ending Jammu and Kashmir's special status. Inside Pakistan, a separate conflict resumed when the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) ended a June 2022 ceasefire that November and announced attacks across the country. Sources: cfr.org, thediplomat.com.
On 22 April 2025 militants killed 26 people near Pahalgam in Indian-administered Kashmir. India blamed Pakistan, which denied involvement. The next day India held the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance and closed the Attari-Wagah crossing. In the early hours of 7 May India launched Operation Sindoor against what it called nine terrorist camps in Pakistan; four days of air combat, drone strikes and shelling ended in a ceasefire on 10 May, announced by US President Donald Trump. A Court of Arbitration ruled in June 2025 that India could not suspend the treaty unilaterally. India rejects the court's jurisdiction. Sources: cfr.org, scroll.in, southasianvoices.org, usip.org, dawn.com.
As of early November 2026, the May 2025 ceasefire between India and Pakistan has held, but India still keeps the Indus Waters Treaty suspended. On 15 September an Indian destroyer and a Pakistani patrol vessel collided in the Arabian Sea, and on 2 October Indian border guards shot dead two Pakistani civilians in the Bedian sector, prompting both governments to summon diplomats. Most deaths now come from Pakistan's internal conflict: the PICSS think tank counted 260 deaths from militant attacks in September and 111 in October. Pakistani and Afghan Taliban forces clashed on the border on 19 and 27 October. Sources: cfr.org, pakistantoday.com.pk, arabnews.pk, longwarjournal.org.
Key actors
Timeline
What to watch
Background, actors, timeline and watch list last reviewed against the linked sources. They are context for the monthly figures above, not part of the HAPI/HDX dataset.
Country readings
2 of the 2 covered countries have a Country Instability Index reading. The highest is Pakistan at 70 (High), and the lowest is India at 50 (Normal). Instability is a live 0-100 stress score; resilience is a structural 0-100 index ranked across countries. Both describe each country as a whole, not this crisis alone, and a country without a reading reflects index coverage, not a statement about risk.
| Country | Instability (CII) | CII movement | Resilience score | Resilience rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan | 70 (High) | Unchanged | 41.1 / 100 | #146 of 169 |
| India | 50 (Normal) | Unchanged | 50.4 / 100 | #103 of 169 |
Sources: Country Instability Index published pulse and the country resilience index snapshot used on each country page.
Coverage boundary
Pakistan (PK), India (IN). Events outside this list are not included in the live totals on this page.
Live data
How to read this tracker
Use these monthly country summaries as a bounded pulse, then inspect the dashboard for event-level context, map layers, and other independent signals. The figures are not forecasts and should not be interpreted as a complete casualty or incident ledger. World Monitor's forecasts are graded separately, and that record is published on the forecast accuracy scorecard.
Questions about the India–Pakistan conflict
What is happening with India and Pakistan?
As of early November 2026, the May 2025 ceasefire between India and Pakistan has held, but India still keeps the Indus Waters Treaty suspended. On 15 September an Indian destroyer and a Pakistani patrol vessel collided in the Arabian Sea, and on 2 October Indian border guards shot dead two Pakistani civilians in the Bedian sector, prompting both governments to summon diplomats. Most deaths now come from Pakistan's internal conflict: the PICSS think tank counted 260 deaths from militant attacks in September and 111 in October. Pakistani and Afghan Taliban forces clashed on the border on 19 and 27 October. Last reviewed November 5, 2026 against the linked sources.
Which countries does the India–Pakistan conflict tracker cover?
Pakistan and India. Events outside these countries are not included in the totals on this page.
Download: tracker.json. Scope source: World Monitor crisis registry. Maintained metrics: HAPI/HDX humanitarian conflict summaries from the UN OCHA Humanitarian API.
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