Current country stress
Country Instability Index
The World Monitor Country Instability Index (CII) measures current country-level stress on a 0-100 scale using conflict, unrest, security and information signals. CII v8 currently monitors 31 countries and reports 24-hour comparison-window movement when available.
Which countries are most unstable right now?
As of Oct 12, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC, the highest Country Instability Index scores are Ukraine, Russia, and Syria. World Monitor derives this ranking from the committed CII v8 pulse for 31 monitored countries. The published table can refresh from the current API after the page loads.
Live rankings
Current CII scores
| Country | CII | 24h | Level | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 97 | Rising +7 | Critical | |
| Russia | 87 | Rising +10 | Critical | |
| Syria | 71 | Falling -1 | High | |
| Iran | 70 | Unchanged | High | |
| Mexico | 70 | Unchanged | High | |
| Pakistan | 70 | Unchanged | High | |
| Yemen | 70 | Unchanged | High | |
| China | 69 | Rising +1 | High | |
| Myanmar | 64 | Rising +2 | Elevated | |
| Afghanistan | 60 | Unchanged | Elevated | |
| Iraq | 60 | Falling -1 | Elevated | |
| Lebanon | 60 | Unchanged | Elevated | |
| North Korea | 60 | Unchanged | Elevated | |
| Brazil | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| India | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Israel | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Qatar | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Saudi Arabia | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| United Arab Emirates | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Venezuela | 50 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Turkey | 48 | Falling -9 | Normal | |
| United States | 44 | Falling -1 | Normal | |
| Taiwan | 42 | Rising +5 | Normal | |
| South Korea | 38 | Rising +4 | Normal | |
| Cuba | 36 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Germany | 36 | Rising +4 | Normal | |
| France | 31 | Falling -1 | Normal | |
| United Kingdom | 31 | Unchanged | Normal | |
| Poland | 30 | Rising +3 | Low | |
| Japan | 29 | Falling -3 | Low | |
| Egypt | 27 | Rising +4 | Low |
What the CII measures
CII combines a 40% structural baseline with 60% live event pressure. The event score weights conflict at 30%, unrest at 25%, information at 25%, and security at 20%. It also applies bounded boosts and conflict or advisory floors. Read the CII v8 methodology before using a score in an analysis.
CII measures short-term stress. The separate Country Resilience Index measures longer-term structural capacity, with structural resilience ranked for 170 of 196 countries. Do not combine the scores.
CII is a current-conditions score, not a forecast. Where World Monitor does forecast, the record and its methodology are published on the forecast accuracy scorecard.
Open the live CII panel in World Monitor →Source: World Monitor Country Instability Index snapshot, October 12, 2026. Current results: /api/intelligence/v1/get-risk-scores.