Russia resilience analysis
Russia ranks #99 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 51.5 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 55, with recovery capacity next at 68.3. Live shock exposure is strongest at 78.4, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 52.8. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -3.5 points. Dimension coverage is 78%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 55; coverage 95%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 68.3; coverage 54%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 78.4; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 52.8; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 31; high Education capacity 96.
- Economic capacity: 57.4; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 15; high Trade policy resilience 85.
- Infrastructure: 67.2; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 53; high Core infrastructure 79.
- Recovery capacity: 68.3; weight 25%; low State continuity 21; high Liquid-reserve adequacy 100.
- Energy security: 81; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 81.
- Health, food and water: 86.6; weight 13%; low Health and public services 83; high Food and water security 91.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 15 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 21 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 31 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 31 | 100% | Stale |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 51 | 70% | Stale |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 53 | 50% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 56 | 85% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 76 | 100% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 81 | 90% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 83 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 85 | 30% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 85 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 91 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 95 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 96 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Papua New Guinea (#98, 51.6), Laos (#100, 50.8), Maldives (#97, 51.7), Lesotho (#101, 50.8). Comparisons in Europe: Turkmenistan (#109, 49.6), Kyrgyzstan (#87, 53.5), North Macedonia (#84, 53.9), Armenia (#79, 54.1), Belarus (#72, 55.2). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Russia to Ukraine war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 86.6. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Russia
What is Russia's Country Instability Index?
Russia's Country Instability Index is 87/100 (Critical), up 10 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Oct 12, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC.
What is Russia's resilience score?
Russia scores 51.5 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #99 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Russia?
Structural readiness is lowest at 55, followed by Recovery capacity at 68.3. Their evidence coverage is 95% and 54%.
Is Russia's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -3.5 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.