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The AI Forecasts panel (internal id forecast) surfaces probability-calibrated forecasts produced by WorldMonitor’s forecasting pipeline. Each forecast is a structured prediction with a probability, a domain classification, a time horizon, and supporting signals; the panel exposes two axes of filtering (domain and macro-region) so you can home in on the slice that matters to you.

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What the panel shows

A list of active forecasts, filtered by two pill rows:

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Domain filter

All / Conflict / Market / Supply Chain / Political / Military / Cyber / Infrastructure

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Region filter

All Regions / MENA / East Asia / Europe / South Asia / Africa / LatAm / N. America Forecasts whose region does not classify (unknown or global) only appear under All Regions. The panel’s minimum-probability floor is 0.1 (10%) — predictions below that threshold are suppressed from the panel view. Each forecast row shows the prediction text, the probability, the domain (color-coded), the time horizon, and a compact provenance trail. Panel id is forecast; canonical component is src/components/ForecastPanel.ts.

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How you reach it

  • Cmd+K: type forecast, ai forecast, or predictions ai. The command palette label is “AI Forecasts” even though the internal panel id is forecast.
  • Availability by variant: registered and enabled by default in the full/geopolitical variant only. Not present in the tech, finance, commodity, or happy variants. Source: FULL_PANELS in src/config/panels.ts.

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Data sources

Primary RPC: GET /api/forecast/v1/get-forecasts. The panel also consumes two adjacent RPCs for the richer deep-simulation surface:
  • GET /api/forecast/v1/get-simulation-package — the most recent simulation inputs bundle.
  • GET /api/forecast/v1/get-simulation-outcome — the most recent simulation result.
The forecasting pipeline runs as a Railway cron that pulls recent conflict, intelligence, markets, and supply-chain signals, runs them through the forecasting model, and writes the aggregated result at forecast:predictions:v2 in Redis. Macro-region classification comes from shared/forecast-macro-regions.js.

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Refresh cadence

The seeder runs approximately hourly. The key is allowed up to 90 minutes in api/health.js (maxStaleMin: 90) before the health surface escalates.

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Tier & gating

On web, AI Forecasts is currently in trial — free to anyone, including unauthenticated readers. On desktop, the same panel ships with premium: 'locked' in src/config/panels.ts so it is gated there. This split reflects the product’s current trial positioning; expect the web gating to tighten over time.

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API reference

  • Forecast service — covers get-forecasts, get-simulation-outcome, and get-simulation-package.
  • For programmatic prediction generation (fresh probabilities outside the cached cron output), see the MCP generate_forecasts tool.